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110-Trial Analysis Finds Possible Mortality Signal for Cefepime

A Bayesian meta-analysis in JAMA Network Open combined 110 randomized trials comparing cefepime with other beta-lactam antibiotics. Across 22,608 patients, the analysis found a 94.4% posterior probability of higher all-cause mortality with cefepime, but the estimated effect remained uncertain. The credible interval includes no difference, so the study does not prove that the drug causes deaths. The authors describe a safety signal for clinical review, not a reason for patients to stop treatment on their own. ☼ The review covered 110 trials and 22,608 patients. · ☼ The Bayesian probability of higher mortality was estimated at 94.4%. · ☼ The pooled odds ratio was 1.10, with a 95% credible interval…

ILLUSTRATIVE
MEDICINE · SAFETY SIGNALCEFEPIME REVIEWBayesian meta-analysis of randomized trialsEVIDENCE110 TRIALSRandomized studies22,608 participantsMeta-analysisSIGNAL94.4%Probability of higherall-cause mortalityNot proof of harmESTIMATE1.10Pooled odds ratio95% CrI: 0.98–1.24Interval includes 1SOURCE: JAMA NETWORK OPEN, 2026 · DOI: 10.1001/JAMANETWORKOPEN.2026.33017

What the analysis found

A systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis published in JAMA Network Open assessed 110 randomized clinical trials comparing cefepime with other beta-lactam antibiotics. The trials included 22,608 patients. The analysis estimated a 94.4% posterior probability that all-cause mortality was higher with cefepime.

The pooled odds ratio was 1.10, with a 95% credible interval of 0.98 to 1.24. Because the interval includes 1, the data remain compatible with no difference as well as with some increase in risk. The result is a possible safety signal, not definitive evidence that cefepime caused deaths.

Why the result is uncertain

The estimated signal was stronger when published studies were analyzed alone. Adding unpublished studies reduced the estimate, while the Bayesian model continued to favor a possible increase. Differences in trial design, patient populations and available data affect how precisely the risk can be estimated.

The authors say the finding merits careful consideration in clinical guidance and future research. It is not a recommendation for patients to stop or change antibiotics. Treatment decisions should be made with a qualified clinician who can assess the individual circumstances.

Sources

VERIFICATION STATUSLAST UPDATED 22:26
VERIFIED

Bayesian meta-analysis in JAMA Network Open (2026), DOI 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2026.33017; 110 trials, 22,608 patients, 94.4% posterior probability, pooled OR 1.10 (95% CrI 0.98–1.24) are all stated in the study.

UNCERTAIN

The 95% credible interval includes 1, so the article itself frames this as an uncertain signal, not proof of harm; the estimate weakened after unpublished trials were added, which the authors note but do not fully quantify.

MISSING

The list of the 110 included trials is not published in the article; the number and identity of the unpublished studies added to the model are not specified; response from the contacted researchers not yet received.

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